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100 _aCai, Zipan
_958349
245 _aSpatial dynamic modelling for urban scenario planning:
_ba case study of Nanjing, China/
260 _bSage,
_c2020.
300 _aVol. 47, Issue 8, 2020, ( 1380–1396 p.)
520 _aAlthough urban scenario planning is widely applied for exploring various directions of urban development, it often has high requirements on the medium of quantitative information analysis and transformation. Thus, this study establishes a method of combining scenario planning with a spatial dynamic planning support system to predict urban growth. Specifically, a scenario-based spatial dynamic modelling method is integrated with the information module of planning policy for better decision support. The integrated modelling method is applied for an actual urban land use planning case of Nanjing, an evolving city in China. The spatial forms of future urban land use are simulated under four different pre-set policy scenarios. The differences in simulated results under multi-criteria restrictions reveal the effectiveness and practical value of the integration approach. The findings of this study provide policymakers with a process-based approach to test and evaluate ‘what-if’ consequences and help stakeholders reach consensus.
700 _aWang, Bo
_958350
700 _aCong, Cong
_958351
700 _aCvetkovic, Vladimir
_958352
773 0 _08876
_917104
_dLondon Pion Ltd. 2010
_tEnvironment and planning B: planning and design (Urban Analytics and City Science)
_x1472-3417
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/2399808320934818
942 _2ddc
_cEJR
999 _c14861
_d14861