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_aFingleton, Bernard _956917 |
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_aEstimating the local employment impacts of immigration: _bdynamic spatial panel model/ |
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_bSage, _c2020. |
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300 | _aVol 57, Issue 13, 2020 ( 2646–2662 p.). | ||
520 | _aThis paper highlights a number of important gaps in the UK evidence base on the employment impacts of immigration, namely: (1) the lack of research on the local impacts of immigration – existing studies only estimate the impact for the country as a whole; (2) the absence of long-term estimates – research has focused on relatively short time spans – there are no estimates of the impact over several decades, for example; (3) the tendency to ignore spatial dependence of employment which can bias the results and distort inference – there are no robust spatial econometric estimates we are aware of. We aim to address these shortcomings by creating a unique data set of linked Census geographies spanning five Censuses since 1971. These yield a large enough sample to estimate the local impacts of immigration using a novel spatial panel model which controls for endogenous selection effects arising from migrants being attracted to high-employment areas. We illustrate our approach with an application to London and find that no migrant group has a statistically significant long-term negative effect on employment. EU migrants, however, are found to have a significant positive impact, which may have important implications for the Brexit debate. Our approach opens up a new avenue of inquiry into subnational variations in the impacts of immigration on employment. | ||
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_aOlner, Daniel _956918 |
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_aPryce, Gwilym _953957 |
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_08843 _916581 _dLondon Sage Publications Ltd. 1964 _tUrban studies _x0042-0980 |
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856 | _uhttps://doi.org/10.1177/0042098019887916 | ||
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_2ddc _cEJR |
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